Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.038185 0.041543 0.044926 0.048582 0.052417 0.056313 0.060565
2025-10-26 0.033099 0.038081 0.043263 0.049034 0.055257 0.061743 0.068993
2025-11-02 0.027645 0.033600 0.039990 0.047303 0.055388 0.064004 0.073830
2025-11-09 0.024056 0.030755 0.038149 0.046817 0.056604 0.067226 0.079537
2025-11-16 0.021241 0.028492 0.036710 0.046554 0.057879 0.070362 0.085032
2025-11-23 0.019824 0.027696 0.036813 0.047929 0.060906 0.075388 0.092584
2025-11-30 0.018471 0.026838 0.036733 0.048996 0.063506 0.079876 0.099496
2025-12-07 0.017093 0.025828 0.036371 0.049644 0.065550 0.083678 0.105591
2025-12-14 0.015616 0.024577 0.035620 0.049743 0.066878 0.086602 0.110640
2025-12-21 0.014804 0.024113 0.035788 0.050911 0.069445 0.090946 0.117319
2025-12-28 0.013213 0.022507 0.034426 0.050118 0.069588 0.092392 0.120582
2026-01-04 0.012211 0.021625 0.033931 0.050352 0.070938 0.095236 0.125462
2026-01-11 0.011427 0.021018 0.033788 0.051046 0.072886 0.098852 0.131336
2026-01-18 0.010684 0.020420 0.033623 0.051690 0.074765 0.102386 0.137129
2026-01-25 0.009166 0.018578 0.031699 0.049985 0.073652 0.102259 0.138519
2026-02-01 0.008210 0.017503 0.030763 0.049522 0.074061 0.103956 0.142077
2026-02-08 0.007407 0.016600 0.030016 0.049269 0.074707 0.105920 0.145944
2026-02-15 0.007175 0.016592 0.030528 0.050702 0.077518 0.110563 0.153074
2026-02-22 0.006866 0.016433 0.030808 0.051811 0.079906 0.114684 0.159579
2026-03-01 0.006458 0.016078 0.030781 0.052484 0.081719 0.118087 0.165210
2026-03-08 0.005931 0.015475 0.030357 0.052587 0.082770 0.120528 0.169656
2026-03-15 0.005720 0.015413 0.030732 0.053796 0.085277 0.124801 0.176368
2026-03-22 0.005039 0.014441 0.029685 0.052976 0.085071 0.125634 0.178817